Anticipating Change: South Sudan's MAM2024 Forecast Highlights Unusual Rain Patterns and Temperature Shifts

01 Mar, 2024 Statement


Stakeholders under different sectors during the release of the seasonal forecast

In an official release from the South Sudan Meteorological Services (SSMS), the latest forecast for the March to May 2024 season has been announced, based on the regional consensus from the IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC). This year's rainy season is expected to bring above-average rainfall to the Southern, Western, and Eastern parts of Greater Equatorial and in central Jonglei States. This is a significant shift from the usual patterns and could potentially enhance agricultural production across these regions.

However, the forecast also indicates areas of concern, particularly in the northern parts of Western Bhar Ghazal, Warrap, and South of Northern Bhar el Ghazal states, where below average rainfall is predicted. This variation in rainfall distribution underscores the need for preparedness among the communities, especially in flood-prone areas. The SSMS advises that while the wetter-than-normal conditions could benefit crop yields, there is an increased risk of flooding that could impact the season's overall gains.


The SSMS Forecaster presenting the MAM seasonal forecast insights

Moreover, the forecast anticipates warmer than normal surface temperatures in the far northern parts of the country, signaling a trend that could affect both the environment and the livelihoods of the people in these regions. As South Sudan braces for the coming season, the SSMS continues to monitor the situation closely, providing timely updates and advisories. The focus remains on maximizing the benefits of the rainy season while mitigating potential adverse effects, ensuring the well-being of the communities and the successful continuation of agricultural activities.


The Director General of SSMS, Mr. Mojowk Odo and the Director General of Disaster Risk Management at the Ministry of Humanitarian Affairs, Madam Betty Scops in attendance of the press release

Tags: GHACOF66 , Climate forecast , Climate Outlook , SSMS , South Sudan